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Scenario comparison

Financial scenario comparison: two versions of your plan, side by side

Big money decisions are comparisons. Overpay the mortgage or keep the cash. Downsize or stay. Take the job or turn it down. CrestCast lets you branch your entire plan into a named version, change whatever you want inside it, and then read two versions against each other across the charts and the full statements. The variance sits in its own column, so you are reading a difference rather than eyeing two sets of numbers and hoping.

A version is a branch of your whole plan, not a slider

Most tools that offer what-if analysis let you nudge one field and watch one number move. CrestCast works the other way round. A version is a complete copy of everything: every income, every bill, the mortgage, the savings, the pension contributions, the planned changes you have already scheduled. You give it a name and a colour, and it lives alongside your live plan.

Once you switch into a version, you edit it exactly as you would edit your real finances. Add a debt, change a salary, sell the house, stop an income. Every one of those edits writes to that version and never to your live plan. That is the property worth leading on: you can take your real finances completely apart and put them back without touching the real thing. If the result is depressing, delete the version and nothing has happened.

There is no cap on how many you keep, and a new version branches from whatever you are currently looking at, so you can branch a branch. Start from the version where you downsize, then branch that one again to see what downsizing plus clearing the car loan does. Versions can be renamed, recoloured and deleted at any point. This is the feature the trying it before you commit part of CrestCast is built on.

Two versions, and a variance column

Compare Versions puts exactly two versions side by side. Not three, not five. Two, because a variance figure is a difference between two things and stops meaning anything the moment you add a third. If you have three plans to weigh up, you compare A with B and then compare the winner with C.

What you get back is not a headline number. It is the charts and the complete statements. You choose:

  • one statement at a time, cashflow, profit and loss, or net worth
  • monthly or annual periods
  • whose money you are looking at, through the account perspective picker

Then every period renders with the left version, the right version and the variance between them. That is what turns “the overpayment version looks better” into “the overpayment version is £3,400 better on net profit and £16,200 ahead on net worth by the last year both plans reach”. It also lets you find the exact period the two plans cross over, which is usually the number the decision actually turns on.

Milestones are drawn on the comparison charts by default and are worked out for you rather than typed in: a debt clearing, a promotional rate ending, a mortgage deal ending, a student loan write-off date, and every dated change you have scheduled. So when one bar jumps, you can normally see why without leaving the chart.

Branching and comparing

The CrestCast Switch version panel listing two versions, No Extra Payment (Baseline) with a blue dot and a tick, and Overpay £300/mo with a red dot, above a New Version (from Live) button and a Compare Versions link.
The switcher. Each version carries its own name and colour, and the tick shows which one you are currently editing.
A profit and loss comparison headed Profit and Loss Y10, with No Extra Payment (Baseline) at £48.6k beside Overpay £300/mo at £52.0k and a difference of plus £3.4k, above a Net profit by year bar chart pairing a blue and a red bar for each of years one to ten.
The profit and loss view of the same two versions. The card at the top states the difference at the last year both plans reach, before you read a single bar.
A net worth comparison headed Net worth 36, with No Extra Payment (Baseline) at £831.3k beside Overpay £300/mo at £847.5k and a difference of plus £16.2k, above a line reading net worth at 36, the last year both plans reach, and a Net worth by year bar chart pairing a blue and a red bar for each year from 27 to 36 against an axis topping out at £1.0m.
The same two versions on net worth. Here the overpayment version is ahead, and the red bar pulls further clear of the blue one each year, finishing £16,200 up.

Figures shown are the sample profile, not a real household.

Because it is the whole plan, you see the knock-on effects

This is where comparing versions beats comparing figures. A change to one input almost never stays in one place. Put a £6,000 pay rise into a version and CrestCast recalculates the income tax on it, the National Insurance, the student loan repayment if you have one, and the pension contribution taken as a percentage of the new gross. What lands in your account is what is left, and that is what then flows into the cash balance, the surplus, and the net worth line years out.

The same is true in the other direction. A version where one income stops does not just remove a salary row. It changes the tax position, changes what is left after the bills, and changes how fast the savings are drawn down. The comparison shows you the second-order effects because it is running the same engine twice on two complete sets of facts, rather than subtracting one number from another.

What it looks like in practice: overpaying the mortgage

Say the mortgage is £220,000 at 4.6% with 22 years to run, and there is £300 a month spare. The question is whether to throw it at the mortgage or leave it in savings.

Make a version called Overpay £300/mo, set the recurring overpayment inside it, and compare it against your live plan. The mortgage is re-amortised with the overpayments in it, so the balance falls faster, the interest charged falls with it, and the payoff milestone moves earlier on the chart. The interesting part is that the three statements do not agree. On cashflow the overpayment version is behind, because £300 a month is genuinely leaving your account. On net worth it is ahead, because the debt is shrinking faster than the cash is. Both readings are correct, and they are answers to different questions, which is exactly why the comparison hands you all three statements rather than picking one for you.

Then you can ask the harder question the same way: which year does the gap actually become worth having, and what does the cash balance look like in the meantime. Our overpay versus invest page walks through that trade-off in full.

The same tool, four other decisions

Nothing about Compare Versions is mortgage specific. The versions people build most often are the ones where the numbers are large and the intuition is unreliable:

  • Downsizing. Enter the sale as a dated event inside the version. The proceeds settle the linked mortgage, what is left arrives as cash, and the smaller property goes on the balance sheet. Both statements move at once.
  • Upsizing. The mirror image, with a bigger mortgage, a bigger monthly payment and a different answer on cashflow than on net worth.
  • A pay rise. Schedule it on the date it actually starts rather than assuming it applies from today, and let the tax, National Insurance and pension come out of it.
  • Redundancy, or one income stopping. Set the income to stop on a date inside the version and read the cash balance. The useful output is not the gap in income, it is the month the balance crosses zero.

Each of those is built the same way: branch, edit inside the branch, compare. See should I downsize my home for a worked version of the first one.

Three different decisions, one comparison

A net worth comparison headed Net worth 36, with Current 4-Bed House at £831.3k beside Downsize to 2-Bed at £942.0k and a difference of plus £110.7k, above a Net worth by year bar chart where the green downsizing bar clears the blue stay-put bar in every year from 27 to 36.
Downsizing against staying put, on net worth. The green bars are ahead from the first year and finish £110,700 apart.
A profit and loss comparison headed Profit and Loss Y10, with No Raise (Baseline) at £48.6k beside Take the Raise, Invest It at £51.2k and a difference of plus £2.6k, above a Net profit by year bar chart where both sets of bars climb gently across years one to ten.
A pay rise after tax, National Insurance and pension. It is worth £2,600 a year by year ten, and both versions drift upward because pay and asset growth are running underneath each of them.
An annual cashflow comparison headed Cashflow Y10, with Both Incomes (Baseline) at £43.1k beside One Income Lost at £27.9k and a difference of minus £15.2k, above an Operating cashflow by year bar chart where the red one-income bar sits well below the blue baseline bar in all ten years.
One income stopping. Operating cashflow is £15,200 a year lower by year ten, and the red bars sit below the blue ones in every year of the forecast.

Figures shown are the sample profile, not a real household.

Your versions stay private, even in a shared household

CrestCast is built for two people planning together, and a household shares the joint forecast. Versions are the deliberate exception. They belong to your account and are never published to your partner, even when you are sharing everything else.

That matters more than it sounds. Some of the scenarios worth modelling are uncomfortable ones: leaving a job, one of you going part time, what the numbers look like if an income stops. Being able to work out whether it is even viable, quietly, before you raise it, means you can bring a considered position to the conversation instead of a worry. When you do want to talk about it, you can rebuild the change in the live plan and you are both reading from the same numbers.

Why this beats Save As on a spreadsheet

The spreadsheet answer to scenario comparison is Save As. It works for about a week. From the moment you press it you have two files that diverge, and the divergence is not the interesting part of the model, it is your actual life. Your mortgage rate changes and only one file knows. You add a standing order in one and forget the other. Six weeks later you cannot tell whether the difference between the two files is the decision you were testing or the maintenance you skipped.

Then there is the comparison itself. A spreadsheet has no variance column unless you build one, and building one means every row has to line up in both files, in the same order, forever. Insert a row in the copy and every formula in the comparison tab is quietly wrong. Most people give up and read the two tabs side by side, flicking back and forth, which is precisely the mental arithmetic the tool was supposed to remove.

A version is a branch of one model, not a second file. Fix your mortgage rate in the live plan, branch again, and the new version starts from the corrected facts. The variance column is computed, not maintained.

Three limits, each chosen on purpose

Every CrestCast projection is a single deterministic line calculated at the rates and amounts you enter. There is no Monte Carlo simulation, no probability attached to any outcome and no confidence band around any line. A comparison answers “what happens if both of these sets of assumptions hold”. It does not answer “how likely is either”, and any tool that claims to answer the second question is telling you more than it knows.

It compares two versions at a time. Three plans means running two comparisons, and that is a deliberate limit rather than a missing feature.

And there is no bank connection. CrestCast does not link to your accounts and nothing is pulled in automatically, so a version is built from figures you type, or from a bank statement CSV you export yourself and feed in. That is more work up front. It is also the reason the model can describe a future that has not happened, which no amount of transaction history can do. If you want the reasoning in full, we wrote it up in why CrestCast does not connect to your bank.

Where it sits in the rest of the plan

Versions are the branching layer. Underneath them sits the same engine that runs your live plan: the cashflow forecast, the profit and loss statement and the net worth projection, all built from the incomes, bills, debts and assets you have entered once. A version inherits all of it, which is why creating one takes seconds.

They also work with dated changes rather than against them. Anything you can schedule in your live plan, a pay rise, a rate change, an income stopping, an asset sale, you can schedule inside a version, at a different date or a different size. Comparing two versions that each carry their own schedule of planned changes is the closest the app gets to comparing two lives.

Common questions

How many scenarios can I compare at once?

Two. Compare Versions puts exactly two versions side by side, because a variance column only means anything between two things. If you have three plans to weigh up, run two comparisons: A against B, then the winner against C. You can keep as many versions saved as you like, you just read them two at a time.

Does editing a scenario change my real plan?

No. That is the whole point of the design. Once you switch into a version, every edit you make writes to that version and nothing else. Your live plan sits untouched until you switch back to it. You can take your finances apart inside a version, decide you hate the result, and delete the version without having broken anything.

Can my partner see the scenarios I am modelling?

No. Versions are private to your own account. Even when you and a partner share a household and are reading the same joint forecast, your branches are not published to them. It means you can model something difficult, a career change or one income stopping, before you are ready to talk about it.

How many versions can I keep?

There is no limit. Each one is named, gets its own colour on the charts, and can be renamed, recoloured or deleted later. A new version branches from whatever you are currently looking at, so you can branch a branch: start from the downsizing version and make a second one where you downsize and clear the car loan too.

What does the comparison actually show me?

Charts and full statements, not a single headline number. You choose one statement at a time, cashflow, profit and loss or net worth, plus monthly or annual, plus whose money you are looking at. Then every period in the table shows the left version, the right version and the variance between them, so you can find the exact month the two plans part company.

Does it give me a probability or a range of outcomes?

No. Every CrestCast projection is a single line calculated at the rates and amounts you enter. There is no Monte Carlo simulation, no probability and no confidence band. A comparison tells you what happens if both sets of assumptions hold, which is a genuinely useful thing to know and is not the same as a forecast of the future.

Do I need to connect my bank to use it?

No, and you cannot. CrestCast does not connect to your bank, and no version is ever built for you from your spending. A version is built from figures you enter, or import from a bank statement CSV you export yourself: your salary, your mortgage, your bills, your savings. That is slower to set up and it is the reason the tool can model a future that has not happened yet.

Where to go next

This is not advice

CrestCast is a forecasting and planning tool, not regulated financial advice. Figures are projections based on what you enter and the assumptions you choose, and the future rarely matches any forecast exactly. For decisions with real consequences, speak to a qualified adviser about your own circumstances.

Try the decision before you make it.

Branch your plan into a version, change whatever you want inside it, and read it against your real numbers across cashflow, profit and loss and net worth. Nothing you do in a version touches your live plan.

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